28 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MG
🇨🇿Matej Grundel
ELO 1573
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plachta
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1584
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Plachta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.