28 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MN
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1606
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Navedla
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1584
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Navedla
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.