28 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1571
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hradecky
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1590
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Hradecky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H20-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.