28 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LH
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1327
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1338
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H47-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.