28 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1317
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Martinek
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1369
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.