28 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1753
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sedlacek
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1671
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+82
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.