28 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1317
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vrabec
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1294
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H29-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.