28 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ER
🇨🇿Evzen Rychlik
ELO 1531
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skacelik
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.05· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.