28 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1370
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.851956
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1291
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · 1956
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.05· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H7-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.