28 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1545
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fojt
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1523
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Fojt
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H17-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.