28 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1619
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Urbaniec
MG
🇨🇿Matej Grundel
ELO 1573
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.