28 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MN
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1606
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Urbaniec
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1619
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H13-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.