28 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1549
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zmuda
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1545
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.