28 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1545
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zidek
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1511
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+34
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.