28 Jun · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1717
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1630
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+87
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)