28 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1671
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cabis
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1630
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+41
H2H16-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.