28 Jun · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1479
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Levicky
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1338
FormWLWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+141
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)