29 Jun · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1607
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Svechota
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1689
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Ruzicka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (14)
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+82
H2H9-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.