28 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇨🇿Patrik Hanel
ELO 1465
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrabec
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1484
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~82 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.