29 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1649
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Polasek
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1570
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H23-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.