29 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nohejl
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1519
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+33
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.