29 Jun · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1562
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1649
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+87
H2H23-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-12)