29 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1519
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nohejl
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1476
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+43
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.