29 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1649
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1660
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Revay
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H49-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.