29 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skotnica
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1649
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+85
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.