29 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1476
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nohejl
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1519
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+43
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.