29 Jun · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1495
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jungman
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1535
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jungman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 30% · 3.35· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+40
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.