29 Jun · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1384
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Trinta
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+102
H2H29-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-9)