29 Jun · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1441
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Petr
JJ
🇨🇿Jiri Jira
ELO 1285
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Petr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+156
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)