29 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1229
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Koch
JK
🇨🇿Jiri Koch
ELO 1308
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Koch
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 29% · 3.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.