29 Jun · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1441
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Petr
JK
🇨🇿Jiri Koch
ELO 1308
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Petr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)