29 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
V2
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl 2005
ELO 1665
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.852005
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Huk covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · 2005
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+84
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.