29 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skotnica
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kratochvil
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1579
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.