29 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pavelka
ELO 1550
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pavelka
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pavelka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H29-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.