29 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1401
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stefek
PS
🇨🇿Pavel Stuchlik
ELO 1397
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.