29 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1393
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stuchlik
PS
🇨🇿Pavel Stuchlik
ELO 1397
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🌟1964 stays under total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Stuchlik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.