29 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1632
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Huk covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+51
H2H51-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.