29 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Huk
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1547
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Huk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+34
H2H47-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.