29 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RR
🇨🇿Radek Rose
ELO 1606
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rose
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Huk covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Rose
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 40% · 2.50· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H9-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.