29 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1547
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1632
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+85
H2H34-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.