29 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Marek Holub
ELO 1488
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hudeczek
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1523
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Holub covers set handicap as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Hudeczek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+35
H2H13-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.