29 Jun · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1734
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mares
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1626
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Mares
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)