29 Jun · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
V2
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl 2005
ELO 1665
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.792005
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1547
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · 2005
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+118
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)