29 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1587
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Urbaniec
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skotnica
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.