29 Jun · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1665
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zeman
ELO 1688
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H20-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.