29 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1527
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pagac
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1498
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Pagac
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H45-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.