29 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1531
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hudeczek
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1498
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hudeczek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+33
H2H14-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.