29 Jun · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1522
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vedmoch
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1489
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+33
H2H40-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.