30 Jun · 00:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1486
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hasmanda
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1401
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Hasmanda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+85
H2H18-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.