29 Jun · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1563
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1531
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+32
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.